Testimonials
Brinkmanship: Will China Invade Taiwan?
Deterrents, Enablers, Wildcards, Black Swans
![]() | Admiral Stavridis is vice chair, global affairs, and a managing director-partner of The Carlyle Group, a global investment firm, and chair of the board of trustees of the Rockefeller Foundation. Stavridis serves as senior military analyst for CNN. He is also chair emeritus of the board of directors of the United States Naval Institute and a senior fellow at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory. "This is a thoughtful, highly detailed, and very pragmatic look at the potential scenario, the world dreads…an attack on Taiwan by China. I strongly support its publication as soon as possible." Admiral James Stavridis, PhD , US Navy (Retired) |
![]() | Captain James is Military Professor of Leadership and Warfighting, USAF Air War College Montgomery, Alabama. He educates senior military and civilian colleagues to develop essential critical and strategic thinking skills, preparing them for leadership roles in national security. This includes officers from all branches of the US military, federal employees, and foreign officers. The AWC program is accredited for Joint Professional Military Education (JPME) and annually instructs about 245 residents from US military services, federal agencies, and international fellows representing 45 nations. "Throughout my career, the INDOPACIFIC has been my primary domain, starting from my days as a junior officer. Dr. Caragata masterfully illuminates the intricate web of complexities and tensions within the region, supported by a wealth of compelling details." Capt. Quintin James, Professor of Military Science, USAF War CollegePreviously Deputy Chairman, War Games Department, US Naval War College, Rhode Island. |
![]() | Daniel Runde is a Senior Vice President at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington and holds the William A. Schreyer Chair in Global Analysis, where he focuses on the role of using soft power. He is the Author of "The American Imperative: Reclaiming Global Leadership through Soft Power.” Mr. Runde holds a master's degree in public policy from the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University. "Dr. Caragata has developed a fascinating analysis of the factors that will drive a decision for China to invade Taiwan. He looks at dozens of them and walks the reader through a fascinating analysis. His conclusion that "not yet, because the costs are really high for China" is comforting and credible. This is an important contribution because I have not seen anyone bring expertise from multiple disciplines to this critical, almost existential, question for all of us." Daniel F. Runde, Senior Vice President at the Center for Strategic and International Studies |